Source-backed risk intelligence

Risk intelligence
you can trace.

When the call really matters — a market, a counterparty, a location, a trip — you need an answer you can act on and defend, not a confident guess. Aegilo gives you a read that's triangulated across independent sources, red-teamed against itself, and traced to the primary. Decide early — and back it up later.

Certified intelligence analyst · two decades across a Fortune 500 insurer, scientific institutions, and Swiss reconnaissance · built in Switzerland

If you've had to ask "how do we know?"

You're handed confident answers. Almost none of them can show their work.

01

A consultant hands you a view you can't audit.

02

A feed gives you noise. An AI gives you fluent text with no idea where it came from.

03

When the decision actually matters, you need the reasoning — and the sources — in hand.

What you get

Two ways to answer the question in front of you.

AEGILO REPORT

The answer to the question you're staking a decision on.

A sourced, triangulated, red-teamed read on a specific decision — a market, a counterparty, a trip, a threat.

  • A clear judgement, and the evidence behind it
  • The alternatives we considered — and rejected
  • The full reasoning, on the record

Every conclusion traces to a primary source. We show the judgements we dropped, too.

AEGILO EXPOSURE

What's around your people and assets — and what's changing.

A graded, explained assessment of the risk around a location, a footprint, or a family — kept current as the world moves.

  • The picture, not the alert flood
  • A measured baseline, scored with the reasoning
  • An honest pulse when something material shifts

A baseline and a change signal you can trust — not a wall of notifications.

A THIRD WAY IN · TRAVEL & ROUTE

Planning movement through a difficult environment.

When people have to travel somewhere hard, you get a read on the ground before they're on it — a Report and an Exposure assessment composed for a specific journey.

How to assess a route through a high-risk city
  • A regional read of where they're going — the baseline, and what's elevated
  • Site assessments for the places that matter — the airport, the hotel, the venue
  • A graded route with an independent alternate — and a plain record of what's confirmed and what isn't
How you get an answer you can defend

We verify before you have to.

Every source checked, every conclusion argued against — the check built in, not the one you wish you'd run afterward. We call it the second arrow: the archer readies it before the first is loosed.

01QuestionDefine the decision and the standard of evidence it deserves.
02SourcesHold the primaries — who said it, and where it surfaced.
03TriangulationIndependent sources agreeing — not one echoed seven times.
04Red-teamWe argue against our own conclusion before you see it.
05Decision logEvery judgement, its reasoning, and the ones we rejected.
What "traceable" looks like

The provenance is the product.

Below: a sanitised extract from a route package — planning safe movement for a business trip to Baghdad. The cover verdict leads with a failure: an endpoint we could not confirm. Each line carries what was checked, how, and the honest result — including the one that didn't pass.

Every competitor shows you green checkmarks. We show you what we couldn't confirm.

AEGILO ROUTE PACKAGE · EXTRACTmeridian · baghdad · 2026-06
Q: Plan movement — airport → hotel → business site, 15–19 Jun.
▸ COVER VERDICT: DOES NOT PASS — endpoint unconfirmed (Dora gate)
ENDPOINT · business site (destination)
"Which gate admits visitors is unknown."
recon:none — generic pin sits deep inside the perimeter
verdict:NOT CONFIRMED — gate assignment needs host confirmation / ground recon
ARRIVAL · airport curb
"Arrivals curb, civil terminal — not the aerodrome centroid."
recon:map recon · gate + barrier visible; ground-confirm on arrival
verdict:CONFIRMED
ROUTE · primary vs alternate
"An alternate that shares the primary's river crossing is not an alternate."
check:shared-choke fraction measured per route
verdict:RETAINED — alternate is independent
The Brief · Free · Weekly

Ten risk topics worth watching — and what changed since last week.

The week-over-week delta is the point: what entered the watchlist, what left, and what's been quietly persistent. Sourced, attributed, no forecasts. The full assessment is the report.

Weekly. Unsubscribe anytime. We never disclose subscribers or clients.

Browse past editions in the archive →

Who it's for
Corporate risk & security leadsInsurers & underwritersAdvisors — PE, law, family officesPrivate individuals & families
Where Aegilo is going

From intelligence to protection.

NowAVAILABLE

Intelligence

Sourced reports and exposure assessments — the defensible read, on demand.

Aegilo Report · Aegilo Exposure
HorizonRESEARCH

Continuous awareness

Aegilo Lab — prototyping the sensing layer that turns periodic intelligence into live awareness.

Aegilo Lab
Ready when you are

Have a question worth answering well?

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You'll see clearly. You'll decide early. And when someone asks how you know — you'll have the receipts.

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Tell us the decision you're facing.

Founder-led — your enquiry reaches the analyst directly. No call centre, no funnel.

→ A scoped brief and a clear deliverable → An honest turnaround and price before any work begins → Strict discretion — clients and questions are never disclosed

Built by a certified intelligence analyst — 20+ years across a Fortune 500 insurer, scientific institutions, and Swiss reconnaissance · MAX tradecraft · FR · EN · RU.